Inevitable Downfall of Facebook

People waste time. (See Perezhilton.com, Halo 3, nature photography, romance novels, etc.) But at a certain point the entertainment value wears off of everything. Video games build their business model around this. Movies, television and radio may have trained us to feel this way. Something that starts great and interesting and new and exciting before long is trite, played out, and stale. So some day very soon people will begin asking - what am I doing with my time on Facebook (or Myspace, Bebo, and Friendster?)

Why do I believe this? I have friends on Pownce, Twitter, Facebook, Myspace, Kluster, Behance, and other social networking sites (some that I’ve completely forgotten about.) I’m not alone. There will be a time, very soon, where the social world begins to consolidate. When that happens there will only be a couple of “entertainment” based networks left standing (my money says only one survives.) Facebook has ceased being the “new thing” and people will quickly figure out that most of the Facebook apps suck and start asking “now that I’ve tracked down my pals from 5th grade, what the hell am I doing here?”

To all the folks who think I’m just going negative - I hope you’re right. I hope there is some awesome wicked sweet widget or app that will sudden have me changing my tune about Facebook. Maybe I will come up with it myself - I love being contrary, even when I get to contradict myself. But I see the fatigue coming, and I hope Facebook is anticipating this. Google will always provide a valuable service by letting the world search for anything - but now that I’ve reconnected with Jill Smith from my 9th grade gym class I’m left wondering what I get back for all this time I’ve spent on Facebook?

Am I one of many to soon close the Facebook? Do I signal the inevitable downfall of Facebook, or do I just not have any interesting friends?

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